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Ah ... Contango Memories
Real-time Monetary Inflation (last 12 months): -2.3%

The tango has long been known as the dance of love. Around the NYMEX trading ring, the ‘tango—the locals' shorthand for contango—has as many lovers as detractors. Contango is the pricing phenomenon characterized by successively higher back-month prices. For example, a $2.98 contango was evident on Friday when October 2010 WTI crude oil finished at $75.17 a barrel, and January 2011 crude settled at $78.15.

Brad Zigler Monday, 30 August 2010
 
Taking The Active Approach To Commodities ETFs

K. Geert RouwenhorstK. Geert Rouwenhorst and Kurt Nelson of SummerHaven Index Management, LLC explain how to go beyond passive in commodities exposure.

 

Lara Crigger Friday, 20 August 2010
 
The Waiting Game: Commodity ETPs In Limbo
WheatCommodity traders aren't used to waiting, but wait they must if they opt for futures alternatives.

 

Brad Zigler Thursday, 05 August 2010
 
Analysts Win Oil Guessing Game
Real-time Monetary Inflation (last 12 months): -3.1%

After Tuesday's losses in the U.S. crude oil market, bullish sentiment was bolstered by a key industry report about the supply of Texas Tea. Overnight trade in WTI crude was buoyed by the American Petroleum Institute's estimates that indicated crude inventories falling much more than analysts' expectations.

Brad Zigler Wednesday, 30 June 2010
 
Contango’s Dance Steps
Real-time Monetary Inflation (last 12 months): -4.2%

Last week's Desktop piece, "Oil Fundamentals," illustrated the connection between contango in the West Texas Intermediate crude market and U.S. oil inventories. Contango, in case you missed the article, refers to successively higher premia built into the prices of futures reflecting the costs of carrying the commodity until delivery.

Brad Zigler Tuesday, 15 June 2010
 
Oil Fundamentals
Real-time Monetary Inflation (last 12 months): -4.6%

Sometimes readers wonder why so much attention is paid to the weekly oil inventory numbers published by the U.S. Energy Department's statistical service. Truth be told, a lot of trader breath is held awaiting each Wednesday morning release by the Energy Information Administration.

Brad Zigler Thursday, 10 June 2010
 
Oil Industry Saving For A Rainy Day
Real-time Monetary Inflation (last 12 months): 1.0%

If you're a regular reader of Desktop columns, you've no doubt noted the buildup in oil inventories that's been reported recently. Since the top of the year, an additional 30.5 million barrels of crude have piled up domestically, bringing stocks up to nearly 358 million.

Brad Zigler Tuesday, 04 May 2010
 
Past As Prologue For Oil
Real-time Monetary Inflation (last 12 months): 1.5%

No doubt, Friday was a bad day to be an oil bull. Nearby NYMEX crude futures tumbled $2.27 a barrel, or 2.7 percent, cramming a week's worth of losses into a single day. Oil prices have been skidding since April 6, so traders were eager to jump on the selling train when the Goldman Sachs news hit the wires.

Brad Zigler Monday, 19 April 2010
 
Oil Drawdown Surprises Industry, Street
Real-time monetary inflation (last 12 months): 1.7%

The streak is over. After 10 straight weeks of inventory-building, oil supplies fell by 2.2 million barrels, according to this morning's report from the U.S. Energy Department.

Brad Zigler Wednesday, 14 April 2010
 
Oil Contango DOES Matter

Real-time Monetary Inflation (last 12 months): -0.5%

Crude oil prices are headed up. But you already knew that, right? In the first quarter of 2010, front-month NYMEX crude prices have risen 5.6 percent. That doesn't sound like a very large gain until you realize that the gain's been accompanied by a 29 percent shrinkage in contango.

Brad Zigler Monday, 05 April 2010
 
George Rahal: Contango Has No Effect On Commodity Returns
George RahalThe shape of the futures curve has no impact on commodity returns, says the founder of Vista CTA, LLC.
  • Why contango doesn't matter—but roll does
  • What to look for in an ideal commodity index
  • Why you don't want to be ‘where the action is’
Lara Crigger Friday, 02 April 2010
 
BIG Short Position Building In Gasoline
Real-time Monetary Inflation (last 12 months): 0.6%

A record short position has been amassed by commercial accounts in the gasoline market. In sum, a record high 132,416 NYMEX futures and option equivalents are held short by producers, users, merchants and processors.

Brad Zigler Tuesday, 23 March 2010
 
March Madness In Natural Gas
Natural GasNatural gas is in a seasonal upswing—but how does the long-term picture look?
  • Should investors bet on seasonality?
  • How contango has eaten into returns
  • Why more supply has meant less contango
Julian Murdoch Tuesday, 09 March 2010
 
Weekend Meat Musings
Real-time Monetary Inflation (last 12 months): 2.6%

When the skies cleared on Sunday, many backyard grills in our cabin-fevered neighborhood were fired up for the first time this year. The perfume of sizzling beef and pork that wafted over our street got me thinking about this spring's prospects for meat.

Brad Zigler Monday, 08 March 2010
 
Ken Armstead: The Active Approach To Commodities
Ken ArmsteadThe CEO of Absolute Plus Management explains why active beats passive when it comes to commodities.
  • The risks of a passive approach
  • Will we see active commodity ETFs?
  • Can contango continue—and does it matter?
Lara Crigger Friday, 29 January 2010
 
Best Year Ever: Commodities Edition
Year 2010We take one final look at 2009—and what it all means for 2010.
  • Going long during contango
  • The top performers
  • Regulatory fire fizzles
Lara Crigger Thursday, 14 January 2010
 
Kurt Nelson & K. Geert Rouwenhorst On Indexing Commodities
InvestingWe talk to the co-founders of SummerHaven Index Management about the role indexing can play in commodities investing. 
  • The details on their new index
  • The passive vs. active debate
  • The case for commodities right now
Lara Crigger Friday, 08 January 2010
 
Ranking 2009’s Commodity ETPs
Exchange BoardAs we head toward 2010, we take one last look back at the year's best-performing commodities—and its worst.
  • Why do returns between ETFs, ETNs and trusts differ?
  • Rankings of 12 different commodities
  • What a difference contango makes
Brad Zigler Thursday, 31 December 2009
 
Battling Contango
PodcastLara Crigger and Dave Nadig examine the new 12-month natural gas ETN. Does mitigating contango make natural gas a buy?


HardAssetsInvestor Tuesday, 24 November 2009
 
Can Gold Supplant Commodities In YOUR Portfolio?
GoldDoes swapping broad-based commodities exposure for the yellow metal pay off? We crunch the numbers—with some startling results.
  • How endowments approach gold
  • Is gold or GSCI a better diversifier?
  • Why contango matters

Brad Zigler Thursday, 12 November 2009
 
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